Guingamp vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 1
GUI
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
AMI
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
STL
1 - 0
GUI
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 1
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 1
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 0
ANG
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCG
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 1
LUS
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |