Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 1
STR
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 4
CHA
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
SED
2 - 0
GUI
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 2
AJA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 0
RED
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 1
STL
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 0
AMI
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
CAE
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |