Ligue 2 Round 33

Guingamp vs Bastia analysis

Guingamp Bastia
72 ELO 70
-3.5% Tilt -4.9%
617º General ELO ranking 710º
23º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
49%
Guingamp
25.5%
Draw
25.5%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
Bastia
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
-3%
+4%
Bastia

Points and table prediction

Guingamp
Their league position
Bastia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
50
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guingamp
Bastia
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Guingamp
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
31%
28%
41%
72 66 6 0
06 Apr. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 0
Amiens SC
AMI
55%
25%
21%
72 67 5 0
30 Mar. 2024
GRE
Grenoble
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
34%
29%
37%
72 69 3 0
16 Mar. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 0
Valenciennes
VAL
63%
22%
15%
71 61 10 +1
09 Mar. 2024
CON
Concarneau
2 - 3
Guingamp
GUI
39%
28%
33%
70 67 3 +1

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 3
Bastia
BAS
51%
25%
24%
68 73 5 0
06 Apr. 2024
BAS
Bastia
1 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
44%
27%
29%
68 65 3 0
30 Mar. 2024
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 2
Bastia
BAS
49%
26%
26%
67 70 3 +1
16 Mar. 2024
BAS
Bastia
0 - 4
Saint-Étienne
ASS
27%
27%
46%
68 75 7 -1
09 Mar. 2024
TRO
Troyes
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
45%
26%
29%
68 68 0 0