Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 2
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 1
NÎM
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASN
2 - 1
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 1
ROD
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
AJA
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |