Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LYO
0 - 1
GUI
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GUI
0 - 2
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GUI
3 - 2
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
4 - 4
GUI
7%
16%
78%
|
81 | 31 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
BRC
2 - 0
BAS
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |