Guingamp vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 2
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
STL
3 - 0
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 2
LHA
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 1
DIJ
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 0
LHA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ARL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
0 - 0
DIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
STL
0 - 1
ARL
57%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 0
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |