Guingamp U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
3º
2º
20
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
ANG
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
GUI
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOU
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 0
SAM
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 2
SRS
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
SCB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |