Guingamp II vs Stade Briochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
14º
14º
37
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
RAC
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AFV
3 - 1
GUI
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASB
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FBB
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Briochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
USB
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 1
STA
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
GRA
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
LES
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 1
STA
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |