Guingamp II vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 3
GUI
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 0
ANG
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAB
1 - 0
GUI
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
3 - 2
USF
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 3
LAT
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DIN
1 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
RCL
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
USS
1 - 1
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
LAN
30%
24%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |