Guineueta B vs Cerro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guineueta B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
GUI
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 4
GUI
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PBC
2 - 2
GUI
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 3
LSB
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CER
2 - 1
SGP
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
CAN
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 3
CER
15%
17%
67%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 3
CER
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CER
0 - 1
PBC
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |