Equatorial Guinea vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
RSA
4 - 1
EQG
78%
14%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
EQG
2 - 0
SLE
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
NIG
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
LIE
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 0
CMR
8%
19%
73%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
SLE
0 - 1
NGA
17%
29%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
RSA
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 1
NGA
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 1
NGA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |