Cymru Alliance Round 21

Guilsfield FC vs Porthmadog analysis

Guilsfield FC Porthmadog
45 ELO 40
8.1% Tilt 11.2%
4481º General ELO ranking 9005º
28º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Guilsfield FC
19.9%
Draw
17.2%
Porthmadog

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.2%
Win probability
Porthmadog
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guilsfield FC
Porthmadog
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2017
GUI
Guilsfield FC
5 - 1
Gresford Athletic
GRE
54%
23%
24%
46 43 3 0
01 Apr. 2017
PRE
Prestatyn Town
4 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
69%
17%
14%
47 53 6 -1
25 Mar. 2017
BUC
Buckley Town
1 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
14%
18%
68%
45 24 21 +2
18 Mar. 2017
GUI
Guilsfield FC
2 - 3
Conwy Borough FC
CON
85%
10%
4%
46 24 22 -1
11 Mar. 2017
HOL
Holywell
2 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
29%
24%
47%
47 40 7 -1

Matches

Porthmadog
Porthmadog
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2017
POR
Porthmadog
3 - 2
Denbigh Town
DEN
30%
23%
46%
39 46 7 0
18 Mar. 2017
GRE
Gresford Athletic
2 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
55%
21%
24%
38 40 2 +1
11 Mar. 2017
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 2
Caersws
CAE
62%
20%
19%
39 34 5 -1
25 Feb. 2017
FLI
Flint Town United
0 - 2
Porthmadog
POR
59%
21%
20%
37 41 4 +2
18 Feb. 2017
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 3
Prestatyn Town
PRE
11%
15%
74%
38 53 15 -1