Cymru Alliance Round 3

Guilsfield FC vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis

Guilsfield FC Penrhyncoch FC
44 ELO 32
6.4% Tilt 15.2%
4497º General ELO ranking 6650º
28º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Guilsfield FC
16.1%
Draw
11.6%
Penrhyncoch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.6%
Win probability
Penrhyncoch FC
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guilsfield FC
Penrhyncoch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2006
GUI
Guilsfield FC
4 - 0
Lex XI
LEX
70%
17%
13%
45 33 12 0
19 Aug. 2006
PRE
Prestatyn Town
1 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
64%
20%
16%
45 57 12 0
04 May. 2006
FLI
Flint Town United
4 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
52%
23%
25%
46 50 4 -1
01 May. 2006
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
3 - 0
Guilsfield FC
GUI
17%
21%
62%
49 30 19 -3
29 Apr. 2006
HAL
Halkyn United
3 - 4
Guilsfield FC
GUI
20%
22%
58%
48 31 17 +1

Matches

Penrhyncoch FC
Penrhyncoch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2006
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
2 - 2
Llangefni Town FC
LLA
28%
24%
49%
31 44 13 0
22 Aug. 2006
BAL
Bala Town
4 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
76%
15%
9%
33 43 10 -2
19 Aug. 2006
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 2
CPD Bodedern
CPD
52%
23%
26%
34 36 2 -1
29 Apr. 2006
GFC
Glantraeth FC
3 - 0
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
75%
15%
10%
36 51 15 -2
22 Apr. 2006
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 1
Queens Park
QPA
53%
22%
25%
36 37 1 0