Guilsfield FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 2
HOL
54%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
RHY
15%
18%
67%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 3
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
PEN
82%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 4
GUI
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 3
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CEF
0 - 1
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CEF
3 - 2
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 2
RHY
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 4
CEF
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |