Cymru Alliance round 17

Guilsfield FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Guilsfield FC Cefn Druids AFC
33 ELO 44
8.6% Tilt 10.1%
5032º General ELO ranking 20268º
28º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Guilsfield FC
24.8%
Draw
43.7%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.7%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guilsfield FC
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2012
POR
Porthmadog
2 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
64%
19%
17%
35 39 4 0
21 Jan. 2012
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 0
Caersws
CAE
55%
22%
23%
34 33 1 +1
14 Jan. 2012
CON
Conwy Borough FC
2 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
56%
21%
23%
35 37 2 -1
10 Dec. 2011
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 1
Rhyl FC
RHY
15%
19%
66%
34 50 16 +1
03 Dec. 2011
RTW
Ruthin Town
0 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
34%
24%
42%
33 27 6 +1

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2012
PRE
Prestatyn Town
0 - 2
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
67%
19%
14%
41 54 13 0
21 Jan. 2012
RTW
Ruthin Town
1 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
21%
23%
56%
42 28 14 -1
14 Jan. 2012
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 1
Porthmadog
POR
54%
22%
24%
41 41 0 +1
07 Jan. 2012
CON
Conwy Borough FC
0 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
49%
23%
29%
40 38 2 +1
02 Jan. 2012
AEL
Rhos Aelwyd
0 - 2
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
18%
21%
60%
40 22 18 0