Guillermo Brown vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
GBR
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
GBR
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DAL
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
GBR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
GIM
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |