Guiense vs Nazarenos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
GUI
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
4 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 4
GUI
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
LEM
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
PAT
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nazarenos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAZ
3 - 0
PAT
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 1
NAZ
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 0
ALQ
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PEL
1 - 2
NAZ
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 1
PEN
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |