Guichen vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
GUI
20%
21%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 3
SAI
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 1
LES
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GIN
1 - 4
PLA
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 2
PLA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
LIM
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |