Guerreros vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
UDG
2 - 2
GUE
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
TIJ
16%
25%
58%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
IND
5 - 1
GUE
70%
21%
10%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
GUE
68%
19%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 0
CAZ
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
VER
0 - 0
UAT
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
VER
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
VER
1 - 0
LOB
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 0
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VER
0 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |