Guernsey vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 1
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
GUE
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 4
EAS
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GUE
1 - 3
SOU
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 5
GUE
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
THR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
THR
0 - 0
BUR
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TOO
4 - 0
THR
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
THR
3 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 2
THR
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |