Non League Div One Isthmian South Central. Jor. 33

Guernsey vs Southall analysis

Guernsey Southall
16 ELO 30
12.6% Tilt 4.8%
11016º General ELO ranking 7744º
676º Country ELO ranking 385º
ELO win probability
21.8%
Guernsey
22%
Draw
56.2%
Southall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
Guernsey
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.2%
Win probability
Southall
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guernsey
-21%
-2%
Southall

Points and table prediction

Guernsey
Their league position
Southall
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
20º
18º
80
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chertsey Town
101
101
100%
Marlow FC
89
89
100%
Leatherhead
86
86
100%
Southall
80
83
82.5%
Westfield FC
83
83
82.5%
Raynes Park Vale
78
78
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
65
65
100%
Thatcham Town
62
62
100%
South Park FC
61
61
100%
Hartley Wintney
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Badshot Lea FC
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Uxbridge
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Ascot United
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Northwood
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Metropolitan Police
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Ashford Town
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Guernsey
18º
34
34
18º
0%
Binfield
19º
34
34
19º
0%
Chipstead
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
21
21
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guernsey
Southall
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Guernsey
Southall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
GUE
Guernsey
3 - 3
Binfield
BIN
46%
21%
33%
17 18 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
WFC
Westfield FC
2 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
70%
16%
14%
18 28 10 -1
30 Mar. 2024
GUE
Guernsey
2 - 4
Ascot United
ASC
44%
22%
34%
19 21 2 -1
23 Mar. 2024
UXB
Uxbridge
2 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
53%
21%
26%
19 21 2 0
20 Mar. 2024
GUE
Guernsey
0 - 5
Hanworth Villa FC
HAN
32%
23%
45%
21 28 7 -2

Matches

Southall
Southall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
UXB
Uxbridge
2 - 3
Southall
SOU
34%
24%
42%
30 22 8 0
06 Apr. 2024
SOU
Southall
1 - 0
Leatherhead
LEA
33%
24%
44%
28 34 6 +2
01 Apr. 2024
SOU
Southall
2 - 1
Northwood
NOR
58%
21%
21%
28 23 5 0
30 Mar. 2024
BAD
Badshot Lea FC
0 - 2
Southall
SOU
50%
22%
29%
26 25 1 +2
23 Mar. 2024
SOU
Southall
0 - 3
Chertsey Town
CHE
24%
21%
55%
28 38 10 -2
X