Guelph United vs Vaughan Azzurri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
9º
11º
46
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 29 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guelph United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
GUE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUE
4 - 0
SIG
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NTN
4 - 0
GUE
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
GUE
4 - 1
PRO
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
GUE
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vaughan Azzurri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 5
VAZ
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
VAZ
3 - 1
NTN
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
VAZ
2 - 2
WOO
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
VAZ
3 - 1
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 0
VAZ
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |