Guatemala vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
GTM
1 - 0
HND
41%
23%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
GTM
1 - 0
ECU
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
GTM
4 - 0
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HND
1 - 0
GTM
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
KOR
2 - 0
GTM
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 0
SLV
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1984 |
USA
3 - 1
SLV
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
77%
15%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 0
SLV
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLV
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |