Guatemala vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
1 - 1
TTO
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
0 - 3
MEX
11%
18%
71%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 0
GTM
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
1 - 1
GLP
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
4 - 0
GUY
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
HTI
1 - 0
NIC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NIC
3 - 0
BLZ
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TCA
0 - 7
NIC
14%
17%
69%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HND
1 - 1
NIC
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |