Guatemala vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
3 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
PRY
3 - 1
GTM
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
USA
3 - 1
GTM
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GTM
2 - 1
JAM
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 1
NIC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
PRI
3 - 1
NIC
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NIC
4 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
PRI
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
DMA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |