CONCACAF Cup U20 Central-American Round 1 Final

Global 5-2

Guatemala U20 vs Belice U20 analysis

Guatemala U20 Belice U20
45 ELO 24
0.6% Tilt -0.4%
20758º General ELO ranking 39786º
21º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
75.4%
Guatemala U20
15.1%
Draw
9.5%
Belice U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
Guatemala U20
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
Belice U20
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala U20
-9%
-50%
Belice U20

ELO progression

Guatemala U20
Belice U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala U20
Guatemala U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 1994
BLZ
Belice U20
1 - 2
Guatemala U20
GTM
40%
24%
36%
44 25 19 0
11 May. 1990
GTM
Guatemala U20
1 - 2
Trinidad y Tobago U20
TTO
54%
22%
25%
44 50 6 0
09 May. 1990
GTM
Guatemala U20
0 - 3
México U20
MEX
39%
24%
37%
45 59 14 -1
05 May. 1990
GTM
Guatemala U20
1 - 4
Estados Unidos U20
USA
44%
24%
32%
45 56 11 0
03 May. 1990
GTM
Guatemala U20
2 - 1
Bermudas U20
BMU
77%
15%
9%
45 25 20 0

Matches

Belice U20
Belice U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 1994
BLZ
Belice U20
1 - 2
Guatemala U20
GTM
40%
24%
36%
25 44 19 0