Guastatoya vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
4º
29
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
GUA
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
ACH
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
2 - 1
COM
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
XIN
3 - 1
ANT
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
XIN
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 1
TOR
31%
29%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 2
XIN
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |