Guastatoya vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAY
1 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
ANT
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 0
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
TEC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAY
1 - 3
SAC
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 1
COB
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 1
SAC
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |