Guareña vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 4
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
CDN
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 3
GUA
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
HER
5 - 0
ZAL
62%
21%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 3
HER
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
5 - 1
CAB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 2
HER
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |