UD La Guardia vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BAI
3 - 0
LAG
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
CDH
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ICF
0 - 0
LAG
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
7 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
4 - 3
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CDV
3 - 1
QUE
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IBR
0 - 2
CDV
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CDV
1 - 2
ACF
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CDV
1 - 1
BAI
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CDH
2 - 3
CDV
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |