Guarda Desportiva vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
14º
31
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
BMA
15%
22%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RES
2 - 4
GUA
54%
20%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LUS
22%
27%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |