Guaratinguetá vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 5
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MOG
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |