Guaratinguetá vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
PPE
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
MOG
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
61%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |