Guaratinguetá vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 2
BAH
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
PPE
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
PPE
0 - 0
ASA
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 3
PPE
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |