Guaratinguetá vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRÊ
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
7%
18%
75%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 4
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
PAU
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 2
PPE
50%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAU
20%
21%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PAU
2 - 5
IFC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |