Guaratinguetá vs Manthiqueira analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

70.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%

15.4%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

6%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

15.4%

13.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaratinguetá

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Sep. 2016	GUA 0 - 4 BOA 17% 25% 58%	37	62	25	0
12 Sep. 2016	POR 3 - 1 GUA 74% 17% 10%	37	51	14	0
04 Sep. 2016	GUA 0 - 3 MAC 26% 25% 49%	39	51	12	-2
28 Aug. 2016	TOM 2 - 1 GUA 73% 18% 10%	39	57	18	0
21 Aug. 2016	GUA 0 - 4 BOT 22% 28% 51%	40	61	21	-1

Matches

Manthiqueira

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 May. 2017	MAN 2 - 0 ARC 77% 14% 9%	28	12	16	0
29 Apr. 2017	MAN 2 - 0 JAB 39% 23% 38%	26	28	2	+2
22 Apr. 2017	MOG 0 - 5 MAN 11% 16% 73%	26	11	15	0
15 Apr. 2017	MAN 1 - 0 UNI 60% 20% 20%	26	20	6	0
08 Apr. 2017	MAU 3 - 1 MAN 53% 21% 26%	27	31	4	-1