Guarany Camaqua vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
GFC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
URS
1 - 2
GFC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 2
ESP
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
GFC
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
GFC
2 - 1
PAS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ECA
2 - 1
GAU
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ECA
0 - 0
VER
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
ECA
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
ECA
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 1
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |