Guarany de Sobral vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
COT
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 2
ITA
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 0
ICA
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
QUI
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |