Guarany de Sobral vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
27%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 1
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
ICA
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |