Guarany de Sobral vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |