Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |