Copa Libertadores . Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Guaraní vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
LQE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
18%
22%
59%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 1
RAC
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
LAN
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
RAC
21%
27%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |