Guaraní vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |