Guarani RS vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SGA
2 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AIM
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
GEB
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LAJ
2 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AIM
0 - 0
PEL
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 0
GEB
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SGA
1 - 1
PEL
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 0
ISM
48%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |