Guarani RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SJO
1 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
GRE
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAX
3 - 1
SJO
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 0
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 0
JEC
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAX
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -3 |