Guarani MG vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
AMF
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
USC
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
0 - 2
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 2
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
CRZ
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
USC
2 - 4
TUP
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TUP
4 - 3
DEM
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |