Guarani de Palhoça vs Operário Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
MET
3 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BLU
2 - 2
GUA
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Operário Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
0 - 2
BLU
53%
22%
26%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
0 - 1
CAM
17%
23%
60%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 1
MAF
57%
20%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
1 - 0
LIT
16%
19%
66%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |