Guarani de Palhoça vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FFL
3 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
CHA
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
INT
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
2 - 1
GUA
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 2
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
5 - 0
INT
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRI
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |