Guarani de Palhoça vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 2
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
53%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
JEC
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 1
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
AVA
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |