Guarani de Juazeiro vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
3 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 1
GUA
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |